Markets Rattle as Trade Tensions Boil Over
Global markets have responded negatively to the latest escalation in tariff measures, reflecting growing unease over future economic growth. Heightened trade tensions continue to unsettle investors worldwide, as policy uncertainty clouds the outlook.
In the US, the Trump administration’s renewed use of tariffs, initially viewed as a negotiating tactic, has now become a central tool in its efforts to rebalance trade. Following the imposition of steep duties on steel and aluminum imports, which led to a 25% tariff on US goods, these measures have been further extended to cover a wider range of products and countries, including the elimination of exemptions for key trading partners. In retaliation, the European Union announced its first round of counter-tariffs, targeting approximately $23 billion in American exports. The affected goods include almonds, orange juice, poultry, soybeans, steel, aluminium, tobacco, and yachts. The EU’s 25% tariffs are set to take effect on April 15, with additional phases planned for mid-May and December. While EU officials have expressed a preference for a negotiated settlement, they have also signalled that these retaliatory measures will remain in place until a resolution is reached. Notably, US tariffs are now affecting around $420 billion of European exports, which accounts for roughly 70% of total EU trade with the United States.
Across the Pacific, China is significantly increasing its tariffs on American imports in response to Washington’s latest actions. Beijing has announced that its tariff rate will rise from 34% to 84% as of April 10, following the US decision to hike tariffs on Chinese goods to 104%. In addition, China has placed more US firms on its unreliable entity list and tightened export controls. Chinese Premier Li has asserted confidence in the country’s economic resilience, despite the uncertainty, while US Treasury Secretary Bessent warned that the rising tariffs effectively function as a tax on consumers and businesses. He urged China to return to diplomatic talks rather than rely on measures like currency devaluation.
These escalating tensions have shifted market attention from short-term negotiations to the broader, long-term implications of an evolving trade landscape. Investor sentiment has weakened, weighed down by rising costs, disrupted supply chains, and ongoing uncertainty about global trade flows. Trade-sensitive sectors such as industrials and consumer discretionary have borne the brunt of the downturn, while even typically resilient defensive sectors have felt the pressure as markets begin to treat these tariff moves not as temporary skirmishes, but as indicators of a more entrenched policy shift with lasting economic impact.
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